Industrial relations dominated the political debate during May, and polls show it is likely to be a big issue in the federal election later this year. So, how did Australia’s three major broadsheet newspapers cover this issue during this period?
A content analysis of the front pages of The Australian, The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald for May shows:
- The Australian ran 22 industrial relations stories on Page 1, compared with 12 by The Age and 10 by the SMH .
- The Australian gave noticeably greater prominence to these stories than did either of the other papers.
- The Australian’s coverage was considerably more negative for Labor than that of the other two papers.
The comparisons can be quantified as follows:
Newspaper |
No. of stories |
Means |
|
|
|
Prominence |
Negativity* |
|
Mid point 2.50 |
Mid point |
|
The Australian |
22 |
2.77 |
4.14 |
The Age |
12 |
2.42 |
3.08 |
The SMH |
10 |
2.50 |
3.00 |
*From Labor perspective
The scales used to develop the means were:
Prominence:
Page 1 lead or top of page with substantial picture: 4
Page 1 lead or top of page without substantial picture: 3
Page 1 upper or mid-page, or down-page with substantial display: 2
Page 1 down-page with insubstantial display: 1
Directionality (from Labor side):
Clearly positive: 1
Tending positive: 2
Neutral: 3
Tending negative: 4
Clearly negative: 5
The table shows The Australian above the mid-point for prominence, The Age below it and the SMH right on it. It also shows the Australian well above the mid-point for negativity as seen from the Labor perspective, with The Age slightly above and the SMH again right on the mid-point.
Like all content analyses, this one is subject to the latent biases of the analyst, however much I have tried to be fair-minded. I usually vote Labor at federal elections and will probably do so again in 2007. This obviously could affect the assessment of directionality, which was made on the basis of the headline and the way Labor’s interests were treated in the story.
There were two big negative IR stories for Labor during the month – Julia Gillard’s run-in with big business, and the revelations about evident exploitation of employees on Australian Workplace Agreements by a company associated with Therese Rein, wife of Kevin Rudd.
It isn’t surprising that that’s how they were treated by all the papers: big headlines and lots of negative content.
To see the full list of stories and the scores for each, follow the link to our website below.
THE AUSTRALIAN |
||||
Date |
Headline |
Promi-nence score |
Directionality from Labor perspective |
Direct-ionality score |
1 May |
Gillard fuels business anger |
4 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
2 May |
Labor team turns on Gillard |
4 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
2 May |
I’m proud of policies, says Julia |
2 |
Clearly positive |
1 |
3 May |
Labor signals IR rethink |
4 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
3 May |
A pot hole hit in the drive for victory |
2 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
4 May |
Eddington just another voice: Gillard |
1 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
5-6 May |
Rudd casts unions adrift |
1 |
Tending positive |
2 |
7 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
8 May |
Gillard move likely to enrage unions |
1 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
9 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
10 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
11 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
12-13 May |
Rudd must beat unions: Labor guru |
3 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
14 May |
Mining chiefs put Rudd on notice |
2 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
15 May |
Build costs to rise over Rudd ‘risk’ |
4 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
16 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
17 May |
Rudd flags deal for miners |
4 |
Clearly positive |
2 |
18 May |
Labor’s contract escape clause |
1 |
Neutral |
3 |
19-20 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
21 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
22 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
23 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
24 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
25 May |
‘Honest mistake’ puts focus on Rudd family business |
4 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
25 May |
Defence of wife a ‘hit’ with women |
2 |
Clearly positive |
1 |
25 May |
Motel boss’s hell after Gillard attack |
3 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
26 May |
Union boss awaits return of ALP glory days |
4 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
26-27 May |
Award conditions bought for 45c and hour |
2 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
28 May |
New test for Rudd on wife’s deals |
4 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
28 May |
Time to rethink IR policy |
3 |
Tending negative |
4 |
29 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
30 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
31 May |
Union fury over Labor crackdown on watchdog |
4 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
31 May |
Mighell hit by friendly fire |
2 |
Neutral |
3 |
THE AGE |
||||
Date |
Headline |
Promi-nence score |
Directionality from Labor perspective |
Direct-ionality score |
1 May |
Rudd’s IR agenda under siege |
3 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
2 May |
Gillard at IR coalface |
1 |
Neutral |
3 |
3 May |
Bosses told ‘back off’ |
4 |
Tending negative |
4 |
3 May |
The Labor guru left out in the cold |
3 |
Tending negative |
4 |
4 May |
PM retreats on rules for workplace |
3 |
Tending positive |
2 |
5 May |
Thousands stranded on AWAs |
2 |
Tending positive |
2 |
6 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
7 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
8 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
9 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
10 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
11 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
12 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
14 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
15 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
16 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
17 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
18 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
19 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
21 May |
IR anger keeps Rudd on top |
3 |
Clearly positive |
1 |
22 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
23 May |
We bungled on IR: Hockey |
3 |
Clearly positive |
1 |
24 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
25 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
26 May |
Rudd’s wife heads for home |
1 |
Tending negative |
4 |
27 May |
Rudd’s wife to offload business |
3 |
Neutral |
3 |
28 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
29 May |
Rein business tried to engage in shady work practices: claim |
2 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
30 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
31 May |
Rudd expels Labor black sheep |
1 |
Neutral |
3 |
THE SYDNEY MORNING HERALD |
||||
Date |
Headline |
Promi-nence score |
Directionality from Labor perspective |
Direct-ionality score |
1 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
2 May |
ALP fury at Gillard ‘war’ on business |
3 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
3 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
4 May |
PM retreats: safety net for battlers |
3 |
Neutral |
3 |
4 May |
Another strike |
1 |
Clearly negative |
5 |
5-6 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
7 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
8 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
9 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
10 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
11 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
12-13 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
14 May |
Rudd ready to backflip on AWAs |
3 |
Tending negative |
4 |
15 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
16 May |
Secret IR poll gives big boost to Rudd |
3 |
Clearly positive |
1 |
17 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
18 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
19-20 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
21 May |
Rudd for IR; Howard for economy |
3 |
Neutral |
3 |
22 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
23 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
24 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
25 May |
YES indeed, I think we need to talk |
4 |
Tending negative |
4 |
26-27 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
28 May |
Push me and it’s the couch, Kev |
1 |
Tending positive |
2 |
29 May |
NOTHING |
|
|
|
30 May |
No work choices – we’re toiling round the clock |
3 |
Tending positive |
2 |
31 May |
Rebuff for militant unions |
1 |
Clearly positive |
1 |
Summary
After a three-day flurry over the Gillard matter at the start of the month, The Age moved on to what it called the “PM’s retreat” on WorkChoices, and a story about thousands “stranded on AWAs”. Neither of the other papers put these stories on Page 1.
IR then had only a sporadic presence on Page 1 of The Age and SMH until the Therese Rein story broke on 25 May.
Meanwhile, The Australian found seven IR stories worth Page 1. These included Rudd “casting the unions adrift”, which came across as a positive for Labor; a negative story about how Gillard was likely to “enrage the unions”, and a third had the public opinion pollster Rod Cameron saying, in the words of the headline, that “Rudd must beat the unions”.
The Australian also ran stories about the mining and construction sectors putting pressure on Rudd and about Rudd’s response.
This analysis is based on the content of the front pages of The Australian, The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald throughout May 2007. The Sunday Age is omitted. This means all the papers are analysed on a six-issue-per-week basis.
Analyst bias obviously could affect the assessment of directionality, which was made on the basis of the headline and the way Labor’s interests were treated in the story.
For example, the Page 1 lead in The Australian of 12-13 May was headlined “Rudd must beat unions: Labor guru”. The story quoted at length the pollster Rod Cameron who, over many years, has conducted polling for the Labor Party. He is the “guru” of the headline. There was a minatory tone throughout the story which the analyst decided created a clearly negative impact on Labor’s interests because it implied that Rudd was not already on top of the unions, might not get on top of them and consequently might lead a government over which unions wielded too much influence.
This is subjective, as much content analysis of this kind inevitably is. The best thing is to acknowledge it and declare where the analyst is coming from.
Analyst bias is unlikely to have had much impact on the more objective data concerning the number of stories or the prominence given to them.
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