Now that Australia has ratified the Kyoto Protocol, the work begins. Meeting our targets will take some creative thinking. So here’s an idea: why should nations like Australia go about the process of meeting their Kyoto goals on their own? It’s possible that partnership with other countries could be mutually beneficial.
There are obvious advantages for Australia in ratifying Kyoto before the beginning of the first commitment period (2008-2012) and, more importantly, before the start of the real dialogue on any second commitment period or post-Kyoto framework. In our view, there are also advantages in forming a “bubble”, or partnership, under Kyoto with New Zealand.
Under Article 4 of Kyoto it is possible for two or more Annex I parties to agree to fulfil their emissions reduction commitments jointly – to form a bubble for the purposes of meeting their targets. These parties are then subject to a collective amount of total allowable emissions for the first commitment period rather than their individual commitments. There’s already a precedent. The European Union is the first and only example thus far of joint fulfilment of Kyoto commitments.
But why would Australia seek to bubble with New Zealand?
An Australia-New Zealand bubble would build on the Australia New Zealand Closer Economic Relations Trade Agreement and the Australia-New Zealand Climate Change Partnership, and represent a further building of Australia’s relationship with New Zealand on climate change.
One of the themes of the existing Partnership is working together with Pacific island nations to address regional challenges. In ratifying Kyoto and in seeking to bubble with New Zealand, Australia signals to these Pacific island nations – among the most vulnerable of all nations to the effects of climate change – that it is, at last, serious about addressing climate change.
Such action also supports existing Labor policy. In its policy discussion paper, Our drowning neighbours, that policy is informed by two themes: Australia must help its Pacific neighbours to meet the challenge of climate change, and must also do its part locally and globally to combat climate change.
Seeking to bubble with New Zealand indicates a seriousness of purpose, a willingness to significantly engage in the Kyoto process and to fully take advantage of Kyoto mechanisms. Such action has both symbolic and practical significance.
A strengthened climate change relationship with New Zealand could also result in future harmonisation of free carbon trading between the two countries and, ultimately, a single, amalgamated emissions trading scheme.
In the short term, and off the back of the proposed bubble, it is possible that Australia and New Zealand could enter into a bilateral agreement allowing for the free trade of offset credits between their respective domestic emissions trading schemes.
The benefits flow from increasing the scope of the offsets market and potentially moving to an amalgamated emissions trading scheme, one of which is liquidity. In any event, forming a bubble under Kyoto with New Zealand would represent a further step in strengthening our regional climate change response.
There are a few other issues associated with forming a bubble with New Zealand. Both parties would be collectively responsible for their total allowable emissions. And New Zealand may be reluctant to take on additional risks given that they have been in the Kyoto process for some time.
There are advantages, however, in addition to those we have mentioned. It increases the two parties’ bargaining power ahead of negotiating any second commitment period or post-Kyoto framework, for example. For Australia, New Zealand’s experience with Kyoto’s flexibility mechanisms would be invaluable.
Finally, action by Australia and New Zealand such as that which we propose could encourage the formation of other bubbles. It’s also possible that Japan, the only other Annex B party in our broader region, could eventually form part of the Australia-New Zealand bubble.
Rajendra Pachauri, a scientist and economist who leads the IPCC, has noted “What we do in the next two or three years will define our future.”
With those words in mind, it’s time for the new Australian government to set some audacious, forward-looking goals.
David Hodgkinson is a director of The Hodgkinson Group and Renee Garner is a director of GH Global; they are the authors of Global Climate Change – Australian Law and Policy (LexisNexis, 2008). Simon Dawkins is Managing Director of the Oil Mallee Company of Australia Ltd.
Crikey is committed to hosting lively discussions. Help us keep the conversation useful, interesting and welcoming. We aim to publish comments quickly in the interest of promoting robust conversation, but we’re a small team and we deploy filters to protect against legal risk. Occasionally your comment may be held up while we review, but we’re working as fast as we can to keep the conversation rolling.
The Crikey comment section is members-only content. Please subscribe to leave a comment.
The Crikey comment section is members-only content. Please login to leave a comment.